What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

David Lisnard

Closes May 30, 2028 (620d) 24h volume 51 Open interest 10.9K Event Next French presidential election winner?

implied YES probability

-2.1pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 12% · Low 0% · 7d +33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.