What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jordan Bardella

Closes May 30, 2028 (713d) 24h volume 20 Open interest 22.1K Event Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?

32%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 52 days · High 34% · Low 23% · 7d +6.5pp · 30d +22.2pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.