What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

François Hollande

Closes May 30, 2028 (665d) 24h volume 2.0K Open interest 19.4K Event Next French presidential election winner?

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 51% · Low 2% · 7d +133.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.