What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Closes May 30, 2028 (620d) 24h volume 212 Open interest 14.5K Event Next French presidential election winner?

12%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 29% · Low 6% · 7d -14.3pp · 30d +9.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.