What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 30, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Édouard Philippe

Closes May 30, 2028 (690d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 8.1K Event Next French presidential election winner?

26%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 30 days · High 25% · Low 15% · 7d +8.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.