K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Will the S&P 500 be between 8400 and 8599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (61d) All outcomes: S&P close price end of 2026? Futures

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chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
2–9%
30d -50 pts · 7d -50 pts
24h volume
5.5K
$1 contracts
Open interest
194.1K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
6.0¢ 173 7.0¢ 8,415
5.0¢ 100,002 8.0¢ 9,184
4.0¢ 188 9.0¢ 3,445
3.0¢ 5,241 10.0¢ 106,001
2.0¢ 9,400 11.0¢ 4

Mid 6.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

7,800 to 7,999.9924%2.4K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%14.3K
7,600 to 7,799.9916%259
8,000 to 8,199.9912%6.8K
7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
7,000 to 7,199.996%1.8K
8,200 to 8,399.996%1.0K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 5,518$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.