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Will the S&P 500 be below 4000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (61d) All outcomes: S&P close price end of 2026? Futures

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chance of YES0%
Price range (120d)
1–3%
30d -50 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
1.9K
$1 contracts
Open interest
418.7K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
3.0¢ 1,228 4.0¢ 6,200
2.0¢ 7,068 5.0¢ 4,452
1.0¢ 2,566 6.0¢ 1,015
10.0¢ 1,390
20.0¢ 1,564

Mid 3.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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7,400 to 7,599.9910%7.5K
7,200 to 7,399.998%4.9K
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