What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

J.D. Vance

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (781d) 24h volume 3.4K Open interest 1.8M Event 2028 Republican presidential nominee

46%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 88 days · High 46% · Low 39% · 7d +2.2pp · 30d +7.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 45.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.