What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Marco Rubio

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (781d) 24h volume 2.8K Open interest 2.5M Event 2028 Republican presidential nominee

20%

implied YES probability

Last 88 days · High 31% · Low 18% · 7d -4.8pp · 30d -9.1pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 20.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.