kalshi
Elections
Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Ron DeSantis
5%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 4%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d +22.2pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 5% probability that Ron DeSantis will be the nominee for the Republican party in the 2028 presidential election. This assessment is based on known facts such as DeSantis' current role as Governor of Florida and his increasing national profile, which may have contributed to his relatively high standing within the Republican Party. The market's price would likely increase if there were significant endorsements or support from prominent Republicans, or if DeSantis' performance as Governor continues to be strong and widely praised. Conversely, a decrease in his popularity or a shift in party leadership could cause the YES price to decline.
Generated Jul 17, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2¢ | 63 | 5.4¢ | 1000 | |
| 5.1¢ | 124 | 5.5¢ | 12801 | |
| 5.0¢ | 12523 | 5.8¢ | 71 | |
| 4.9¢ | 7259 | 5.9¢ | 30138 | |
| 4.8¢ | 25 | 6.0¢ | 7886 |
Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 5.3¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.