kalshi
Elections
Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Tucker Carlson
2%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 8% ·
Low 1%
· 7d +35.3pp
· 30d -30.3pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing Tucker Carlson as a 3% chance to be the Republican nominee for President in 2028. This assessment is informed by known facts about Carlson's current role and reputation within the party, as well as his lack of prior political experience or involvement in presidential politics. The market is not reflecting any specific event or development that would significantly alter the price at this time, but a change in Carlson's public stance on key issues or a shift in his relationship with party leadership could potentially impact the probability of him being nominated. As the election approaches and more information becomes available, the market may reprice accordingly.
Generated Jul 03, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5¢ | 1 | 1.8¢ | 14632 | |
| 1.4¢ | 100 | 1.9¢ | 6400 | |
| 1.3¢ | 9 | 2.1¢ | 14 | |
| 1.2¢ | 5502 | 2.2¢ | 574 | |
| 1.1¢ | 3541 | 2.4¢ | 0 |
Spread 0.3¢ · Mid 1.7¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.