kalshi
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
J.B. Pritzker
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 84 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 1%
· 7d +6.7pp
· 30d -11.1pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner currently indicates a 2% probability that the winning candidate will be "YES". This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current political climate, party affiliations, and historical trends in presidential elections. The market's low valuation of "YES" suggests that many participants believe the outcome is uncertain or favors another candidate. Any significant developments or shifts in public opinion could impact the price, potentially driving it up if new information emerges that increases the likelihood of a "YES" victory or down if alternative candidates gain momentum.
Generated Jul 25, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4¢ | 9154 | 1.6¢ | 15709 | |
| 1.3¢ | 54558 | 1.7¢ | 5028 | |
| 1.2¢ | 23307 | 1.8¢ | 35871 | |
| 1.1¢ | 101 | 1.9¢ | 216718 | |
| 1.0¢ | 6100 | 2.0¢ | 66 |
Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 1.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.