kalshi Elections

Who will win the next presidential election?

James Talarico
Closes Nov 07, 2029 (1191d) 24h volume 300 Open interest 1.1M Event 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 54 days · High 1% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d 0.0pp
2%1%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 0% probability that the winner of the next presidential election will be "YES", implying that the majority of participants do not believe this outcome is likely to occur. This assessment is based on current information and trends, which suggest that the election is still far away and many factors can influence the outcome. The market's neutral stance may be influenced by the lack of concrete information about the candidates and their campaigns at this early stage. Any significant developments or changes in the political landscape could impact the price, potentially driving it up if a new contender emerges or down if an existing candidate gains momentum. As the election approaches, more data will become available, which may cause the market to reevaluate its assessment of the likelihood of "YES" winning.
Generated Jul 10, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.