kalshi
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
Stephen A. Smith
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 55 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -33.3pp
· 30d -66.7pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner currently indicates a 0% probability of any candidate winning, with the YES price set at $0. The lack of movement in this market suggests that there is currently little to no consensus among participants about who will emerge victorious in the next presidential election. This assessment is informed by the fact that the election is still over three years away, and many factors can influence the outcome between now and then. Any significant developments or changes in the political landscape could potentially impact the market's perception of the candidates' chances, causing the price to move up if a particular candidate gains momentum or down if another candidate becomes more competitive.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 66205 | 0.3¢ | 78301 | |
| 0.1¢ | 2121984 | 0.4¢ | 0 | |
| 0.5¢ | 30004 | |||
| 0.6¢ | 7289 | |||
| 0.7¢ | 60050 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.2¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.