kalshi
Elections
Who will win the next presidential election?
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 56 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +60.0pp
· 30d -20.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner currently indicates a 1% probability that the winning candidate will be "YES". This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current political landscape, party affiliations, and historical trends in presidential elections. The market's low price suggests that most participants do not foresee any clear frontrunner or dominant candidate at this point. Any significant changes to these underlying factors, such as shifts in public opinion, major policy announcements, or changes in party dynamics, could potentially impact the YES price, either increasing it if a new contender emerges or decreasing it if the current field remains stagnant.
Generated Jul 27, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 180 | 0.8¢ | 38419 | |
| 0.4¢ | 1007 | 0.9¢ | 25000 | |
| 0.3¢ | 6004 | 1.5¢ | 14 | |
| 0.2¢ | 101480 | 1.6¢ | 3333 | |
| 0.1¢ | 1016666 | 1.8¢ | 1550 |
Spread 0.3¢ · Mid 0.7¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.