Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be at least 15 points?

Settles Jan 08, 2027 (60d) All outcomes: Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES0%
Price range (6d)
1–5%
24h volume
—
$1 contracts
Open interest
5.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$7K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 6d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 1,599$2K
NO98¢ 2,016$2K
NO95¢ 3,638$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.