Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 10 and 15 points?

Settles Jan 08, 2027 (60d) All outcomes: Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES0% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–37%
24h volume
4.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$5K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 1,783$2K
NO98¢ 1,367$1K
NO97¢ 1,781$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.