Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 0 and 5 points?
chance of YES2%
-14.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–15%
24h volume
3.6K
Open interest
4.2K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Talarico by 0-596%5.3K
Talarico by 15+2%1.6K
Talarico by 5-101%6.8K
Talarico by 10-150%4.7K
Raman by 5-100%993
Raman by 15+0%—
Raman by 10-150%2.1K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 98¢ | 1,367 | $1K | |
| NO | 90¢ | 1,235 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.