K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be at least 15 points?

Settles Jan 08, 2027 (60d) All outcomes: Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–16%
24h volume
1.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
5.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Talarico by 0-596%5.3K
Raman by 0-52%3.6K
Talarico by 5-101%6.8K
Talarico by 10-150%4.7K
Raman by 5-100%993
Raman by 15+0%—
Raman by 10-150%2.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 2,652$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.