K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 0.01 and 5 points?

Settles Jan 08, 2027 (60d) All outcomes: Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES96% +76.0pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
1–96%
24h volume
5.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$4K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 4d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Raman by 0-52%3.6K
Talarico by 15+2%1.6K
Talarico by 5-101%6.8K
Talarico by 10-150%4.7K
Raman by 5-100%993
Raman by 15+0%—
Raman by 10-150%2.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES96¢ 2,178$2K
YES89¢ 1,667$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.