Modiv Industrial, Inc.(MDV)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (6798)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $0.2B
Modiv Industrial Inc is a pioneer in the direct-to-consumer commercial real estate product industry. It provides individual investors access to real estate and real estate-related investments designed to provide both income and long-term growth. The company has invested in single-tenant income-producing properties. Its current business consists of owning, managing, operating, leasing, acquiring, investing in, and disposing of commercial real estate assets utilized for industrial manufacturing, as well as a few non-core assets. All of the company's consolidated revenues are derived from the com…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +3.21% | 4 |
| Feb | -14.90% | 5 |
| Mar | +1.53% | 5 |
| Apr | +1.57% | 5 |
| May | +7.87% | 5 |
| Jun | -0.75% | 5 |
| Jul | -2.79% | 5 |
| Aug | +3.41% | 5 |
| Sep | +8.54% | 4 |
| Oct | -6.47% | 4 |
| Nov | +5.44% | 4 |
| Dec | -4.88% | 4 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Here is the stock analysis report for MDV:
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers: Recent price action has been driven by a mix of positive earnings surprises and cautious market sentiment.
Primary Risks: Earnings misses, regulatory issues, and increased competition in the industrial sector could impact stock performance.
Investment Thesis: MDV's diversified portfolio and expanding revenue streams present opportunities for long-term growth. However, the company's high operating leverage and sensitivity to economic conditions create risks that must be carefully managed.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news sentiment has driven short-term gains, but market volatility and earnings uncertainty may lead to increased price swings in the near term.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Consolidation within a trading range
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Uptrend with moderate momentum
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish trend with potential for further gains
Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels to watch include the SMA 50 ($14.55) and Bollinger Band Upper ($15.07).
Momentum Signals:
- RSI (14): Neutral at 54.54, indicating a balanced market
- MACD: Bullish with a bullish crossover above signal line
- Bollinger Bands: Neutral, indicating no strong buying or selling pressure
Volume Analysis: Institutional interest is moderate, with increasing volume on recent price gains.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
- Modiv Industrial (NYSE:MDV) Stock Price Down 0.2% – Here’s Why - Defense World (Defense World, 2025-12-17): Positive sentiment due to earnings beats and product launches
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment is positive, driving short-term gains.
Catalyst Identification:
- Upcoming Earnings Release: January 14th, 2026
- Regulatory Update: Potential changes in industrial regulations could impact MDV's business
Market Narrative: Recent price action has been driven by a mix of positive earnings surprises and cautious market sentiment. The stock's performance is influenced by both technical and fundamental factors.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Low volatility with a beta of 0.48, indicating less risk than the broader market.
Volatility Regime: Moderate volatility levels with an Average True Range (ATR) of $0.33.
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: Neutral
- Put/call ratios: Slightly biased towards puts
- Unusual activity: None notable
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations suggest a potential downside target at the SMA 50 ($14.55).
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: MDV's industrial sector has performed relatively well, but recent price action suggests some caution is warranted.
Institutional Activity: Moderate institutional interest with increasing volume on recent price gains.
Correlation Analysis: The stock has a moderate correlation (0.34) with the broader market, indicating potential for further growth.
Relative Valuation: MDV's current valuation is reasonable, considering its revenue growth and expanding portfolio.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 50 ($14.55): Support level to monitor
- Bollinger Band Upper ($15.07): Resistance level to watch
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- SMA 20 ($14.63): Potential breakout point above this level
- Lower Bollinger Band ($14.19): Potential breakdown point below this level
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings release and regulatory updates could impact stock performance.
Risk Management: Consider a stop-loss at the SMA 50 ($14.55) to manage potential downside risks.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should not be taken as investment advice. It's essential to consider additional factors, such as individual circumstances, risk tolerance, and financial goals before making any investment decisions.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.30
- Correlation (SPY)
- 16.1%
- R²
- 0.03
- Ann. Volatility
- 25.0%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.4%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | KIMBERLY J SMITH | Director | Disp (D) | −18,367 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Aaron Scott Halfacre | CEO and President | Disp (D) | −137,830 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | SARA R GRISHAM | Chief Accounting Officer | Mixed | −40,000 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Raymond J Pacini | Executive Vice President | Disp (D) | −115,580 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Connie Tirondola | Director | Disp (D) | −15,174 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-12 | Christopher Raymond Gingras | Director | Disp (D) | −15,230 | $25.22 | -$57.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-12 | THOMAS H NOLAN JR | Director | Disp (D) | −30,510 | $25.22 | -$9.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-12 | John Connor Raney | CFO, GC and Secretary | Disp (D) | −2,583 | $25.22 | -$10.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-01 | Aaron Scott Halfacre | CEO and President | Buy (P) | +3,585 | $17.34 | $62.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-29 | Aaron Scott Halfacre | CEO and President | Buy (P) | +5,766 | $17.49 | $100.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-15 | Christopher Raymond Gingras | Director | Other (J) | +29 | $18.17 | $544 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-15 | Christopher Raymond Gingras | Director | Other (J) | +77 | $20.82 | $1.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-01 | KIMBERLY J SMITH | Director | Award (A) | +1,047 | $14.32 | $15.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-01 | Connie Tirondola | Director | Award (A) | +1,047 | $14.32 | $15.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-01 | THOMAS H NOLAN JR | Director | Award (A) | +1,047 | $14.32 | $15.0K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First City Investment Group, LLC | 10%+ Owner | 530,135 | $9.57M | -$1.88M | 4 | 2024-08-05 |
| 2 | RAYMOND E WIRTA | 54,499 | $983.7K | $0 | 1 | 2022-04-22 | |
| 3 | SANDRA G SCIUTTO | CAO | 31,667 | $571.6K | $0 | 2 | 2024-04-01 |
| 4 | ADAM SCOTT MARKMAN | Director | 23,005 | $415.3K | $38.5K | 39 | 2024-08-27 |
| 5 | Curtis B McWilliams | Director | 20,793 | $375.3K | $13.4K | 20 | 2024-07-01 |
| 6 | JEFFREY RANDOLPH | 15,776 | $284.8K | $0 | 1 | 2022-04-22 | |
| 7 | JOE F HANAUER | 6,087 | $109.9K | $0 | 1 | 2022-04-22 | |
| 8 | Asma Ishaq | Director | 5,862 | $105.8K | $4.9K | 26 | 2023-08-29 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.