Orange County Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock(OBT)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (6022)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $0.5B
Orange County Bancorp Inc is a community bank holding company providing commercial and consumer banking services to individuals, small businesses, and local governments. It operates through two segments: Banking and Wealth Management. The Banking segment, the primary revenue driver, offers loans such as commercial real estate, construction, commercial & industrial, multifamily, and residential mortgages, along with services like cash management, escrow, deposits, ATMs, and digital banking. The Wealth Management segment provides investment management, trust services (trustee, administrator, cus…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +7.64% | 7 |
| Feb | +3.03% | 7 |
| Mar | -7.02% | 7 |
| Apr | -4.16% | 7 |
| May | -2.92% | 7 |
| Jun | +4.65% | 7 |
| Jul | +0.45% | 7 |
| Aug | +3.46% | 9 |
| Sep | -3.53% | 9 |
| Oct | +4.86% | 8 |
| Nov | +4.50% | 8 |
| Dec | +1.63% | 8 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Bullish momentum from MACD crossover
- Supportive technical indicators, including SMA and EMA trends
- Positive news sentiment from recent headlines
Primary Risks:
- Volatility regime shift to high-risk environment
- Potential earnings miss or negative surprise
- Technical break below support levels
Investment Thesis: OBT has a strong technical foundation with bullish momentum, but its low volatility and positive news sentiment are balanced by potential risks. A cautious approach is advised.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent headlines have been overwhelmingly positive, contributing to the stock's current upward trend.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bullish
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish
- Long-term (3-12 months): Neutral
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Key price levels: $38.30 (SMA 20), $37.89 (SMA 50)
- Resistance level: $39.28 (upper Bollinger Band)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (57.20)
- MACD signal: Bullish
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral
Volume Analysis:
- Volume trends: Weak
- Institutional interest signals: None
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines have been overwhelmingly positive, highlighting the company's financial performance, employee promotions, and community events.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is positive (7/10), with most headlines focusing on the company's achievements and milestones.
Catalyst Identification:
- Upcoming events: None
- Earnings: No data available
Market Narrative: The positive news sentiment aligns with the technical signals, supporting the current upward trend.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Interpretation: Low (beta 0.44)
Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels: Low (stock moves less than market)
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: N/A
- Put/call ratios: N/A
- Unusual activity: None
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations are critical in this low-volatility environment.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: OBT's performance is relative to the broader market, with a similar sector ranking.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest some institutional interest, but it's not significant.
Correlation Analysis: The stock moves relatively close to the market (R-squared interpretation).
Relative Valuation: OBT is positioned within its trading range, with no clear value or overvaluation indicators.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: $38.30 (SMA 20)
- Resistance: $39.28 (upper Bollinger Band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: None
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings date, FDA approvals, product launches - no data available
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations are essential in this low-volatility environment.
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of OBT's technical, fundamental, and news-driven aspects. The bullish momentum from the MACD crossover and supportive technical indicators are balanced by potential risks, including volatility regime shifts and earnings misses. A cautious approach is advised, with a focus on risk management and position sizing considerations in this low-volatility environment.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | unknown | — | 2.07% | — | Within |
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.38
- Correlation (SPY)
- 18.4%
- R²
- 0.03
- Ann. Volatility
- 26.7%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Gregory Sousa | EVP and Deputy CLO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | William D Morrison | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Jon Schiller | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Jonathan F Rouis | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Gregory Sousa | EVP and Deputy CLO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Michael J Gilfeather | President and CEO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Richard B Rowley | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Michael Lesler | EVP, Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Kevin J Keane | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Olga Luz Tirado | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | Marianna R Kennedy | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-16 | GREGORY F HOLCOMBE | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-05 | Stephen Rooney | SVP, Chief Credit Officer | Sell (S) | −1,500 | $38.71 | -$58.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | Gregory Sousa | EVP and Deputy CLO | Sell (S) | −3,047 | $38.75 | -$118.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-23 | Richard B Rowley | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard B Rowley | Director | 537,134 | $20.31M | $385.2K | 68 | 2026-09-16 |
| 2 | Michael J Gilfeather | President and CEO | 145,849 | $5.52M | $192.4K | 51 | 2026-09-16 |
| 3 | Louis Heimbach | Director | 121,226 | $4.58M | $100.5K | 18 | 2024-04-03 |
| 4 | William D Morrison | Director | 113,442 | $4.29M | $38.3K | 16 | 2026-09-16 |
| 5 | GREGORY F HOLCOMBE | Director | 103,544 | $3.92M | $619.8K | 61 | 2026-09-16 |
| 6 | Terry R Saturno | Director | 43,402 | $1.64M | $50.2K | 5 | 2023-08-10 |
| 7 | Joseph A Ruhl | Reg Pres, Westchester County | 36,159 | $1.37M | -$94.3K | 19 | 2026-03-23 |
| 8 | Robert L Peacock | SEVP and CFO | 35,808 | $1.35M | $23.4K | 7 | 2023-02-17 |
| 9 | Kevin J Keane | Director | 26,666 | $1.01M | $39.3K | 51 | 2026-09-16 |
| 10 | Susan G Metzger | Director | 19,196 | $726.0K | $6.7K | 3 | 2022-11-17 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.