Onterris, Inc.(ONT)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $12.68 – $23.32
- YTD
- -34.36%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 66.56
- Straddle Price
- $2.75
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 2.34
- Market Cap
- $0.6B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.96% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.21 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 11.62% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 11.76% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +88.6pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.1B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -2.6% |
| Book / Price | 71.9% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Quality Score | 0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +3.4% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $18.03 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $17.49 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 82.4% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.0B |
| Market Cap | $1B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $16.55 | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 22.9× · 4 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $22.03 | 28% | median 13.1× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/B | $32.91 | 36% | median 2.7× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/S | $59.06 | 36% | median 2.6× · 4 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $18.03 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $17.79 | 0% | 8 strikes · skew -0.11 |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES (8742)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $0.6B
Onterris Inc is an environmental solutions company. The company provides environmental solutions to organizations addressing regulatory, operational, and environmental challenges. Its services include the application of scientific, engineering, and data-driven approaches to support risk management, compliance, and environmental protection, including air, water, and soil.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | — | 0 |
| Feb | — | 0 |
| Mar | — | 0 |
| Apr | — | 0 |
| May | -25.15% | 1 |
| Jun | +27.43% | 1 |
| Jul | +1.99% | 1 |
| Aug | -21.24% | 1 |
| Sep | -17.11% | 1 |
| Oct | — | 0 |
| Nov | — | 0 |
| Dec | — | 0 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key Drivers:
- Bearish momentum signal from MACD
- Trend direction indicates range-bound movement
- High volatility and beta indicate higher risk
Primary Risks:
- Continued selling pressure due to bearish momentum
- Potential for further market correction
Investment Thesis:
ONT is likely to experience short-term consolidation, potentially followed by a trend reversal. However, the high volatility and beta suggest a higher risk profile.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
No recent news headlines available, but historical news sentiment analysis suggests a neutral tone, which may not have significantly impacted the stock price.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: Range-bound
- Medium-term: Downtrend
- Long-term: Neutral
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Key resistance at $18.12 (upper Bollinger Band)
- Key support at $16.50 (SMA 20)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: Neutral (52.60), indicating no clear buy or sell signal
- MACD: Bearish, with a histogram reading of -0.64
- Bollinger Bands: Neutral, with the price trending sideways
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 686096.51
- OBV: 4183212.78, indicating a slight increase in buying pressure
- Volume Rate of Change: -36.93%, suggesting a decline in trading activity
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
No recent news headlines available.
Sentiment Assessment:
Neutral sentiment dominates the lack of recent news headlines.
Catalyst Identification:
No significant catalysts identified in the near term.
Market Narrative:
The market's neutral tone is likely to continue, with ONT experiencing short-term consolidation.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation:
High risk due to beta value of 1.42 (vs SPY).
Volatility Regime:
Current volatility regime indicates high volatility.
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: 14.0% (Low)
- Current IV: 123.8%
- Expected Move: $2.67 (42 DTE), 7-DTE: $2.33
- Volume Flow: 46 calls vs 38 puts
- Open Interest: 238 calls vs 54 puts
Downside Protection:
Key support at $16.50 (SMA 20) and $14.89 (lower Bollinger Band).
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance:
ONT's sector performance is neutral, with mixed signals from the broader market.
Institutional Activity:
No significant institutional activity observed in recent trading sessions.
Correlation Analysis:
ONT has a high correlation of 0.94 with its own volatility, indicating a strong relationship between price and volatility.
Relative Valuation:
ONT appears to be trading within its historical range, suggesting a neutral valuation.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support at $16.50 (SMA 20)
- Resistance at $18.12 (upper Bollinger Band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Breakout above $18.12 could trigger further buying pressure
- Breakdown below $16.50 could lead to increased selling pressure
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
No significant catalysts identified in the near term.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss levels should be set around $15.50 (lower Bollinger Band) for a 10% potential loss, with position sizing considering the high volatility and beta.
Overall Assessment
ONT is likely to experience short-term consolidation due to bearish momentum signals and high volatility. The lack of recent news headlines suggests a neutral market tone, which may not have significantly impacted the stock price. As such, I recommend a cautious approach with stop-loss levels set around $15.50 (lower Bollinger Band) for a 10% potential loss, considering the high risk profile.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | After-Close | 19.00% | 35.70% | 1.88x | Exceeded |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 66.56
- IV Rank (7D)
- 66.56
- Avg IV
- 205.8%
- Straddle (30D)
- $2.75
- Straddle (7D)
- $2.75
- P/C Volume
- 2.34
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.08
- Correlation (SPY)
- 14.8%
- R²
- 0.02
- Ann. Volatility
- 92.0%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.6%
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caption Management, LLC | $2.50M | 40.73% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.30M | 21.19% | 2025-09-30 |
| 3 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.05M | 17.17% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $658.85K | 10.72% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $331.44K | 5.39% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $272.83K | 4.44% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | HAP TRADING, LLC | $21.52K | 0.35% | 2025-09-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caption Management, LLC | $2.74M | 66.95% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $570.62K | 13.93% | 2025-09-30 |
| 3 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $456.75K | 11.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $325.38K | 7.94% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | HAP TRADING, LLC | $1.30K | 0.03% | 2025-09-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | PETER GRAHAM | Director | Buy (P) | +25,140 | $17.19 | $432.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-05 | PETER GRAHAM | Director | Buy (P) | +4,860 | $15.94 | $77.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | Allan Dicks | Chief Financial Officer | Buy (P) | +6,535 | $15.36 | $100.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | Jose Revuelta | Chief Strategy Officer | Exer (M) | +27,349 | $6.03 | $164.9K | EDGAR |
| 2010-01-14 | J ALLEN KOSOWSKY | Director | Exer (M) | +205,000 | $0.53 | $108.1K | EDGAR |
| 2010-01-14 | Matthew Calhoun Frost | COO and Interim CEO | Mixed | +167,919 | $0.40 | $98.7K | EDGAR |
| 2010-01-12 | Paul Wilkins | CTO, SVP of R&D | Exer (M) | +34,333 | $0.40 | $13.7K | EDGAR |
| 2010-01-12 | TIMOTHY REUSING | General Counsel, Exec VP | Exer (M) | +166,666 | $0.42 | $70.0K | EDGAR |
| 2010-01-12 | James Bankoski | CTO-SVP of Core Technologies | Exer (M) | +34,333 | $0.40 | $13.7K | EDGAR |
| 2009-11-17 | Matthew Calhoun Frost | COO and Interim CEO | Tax (F) | −3,124 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2009-09-29 | Matthew Calhoun Frost | COO and Interim CEO | Tax (F) | −46,850 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2009-09-22 | TIMOTHY REUSING | General Counsel, Exec VP | Tax (F) | −9,370 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2009-08-25 | Wayne Boomer | Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | +67,000 | $0.58 | $38.9K | EDGAR |
| 2009-03-25 | Wayne Boomer | Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | +175,000 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2009-03-05 | James Bankoski | CTO-SVP of Core Technologies | Award (A) | +160,000 | $0.33 | $52.0K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Revuelta | Chief Strategy Officer | 296,631 | $4.15M | $0 | 1 | 2026-05-12 |
| 2 | PETER GRAHAM | Director | 256,689 | $3.59M | $509.6K | 2 | 2026-06-08 |
| 3 | Allan Dicks | Chief Financial Officer | 218,178 | $3.05M | $100.4K | 1 | 2026-05-12 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Manthripragada Vijay | Officer, Director | 46,121 | $1.17M | 2026-03-13 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-09 | Revuelta Jose | Officer | 7,858 | $212.2K | 2026-03-09 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-04 | Revuelta Jose | Officer | 42,668 | $1.18M | 2026-03-04 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-03 | Afsari Nasym | Officer | 43,348 | $1.23M | 2026-03-03 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-03 | Revuelta Jose | Officer | 60,000 | $1.68M | 2026-03-03 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-02 | Afsari Nasym | Officer | 200 | $6.0K | 2026-03-02 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-02 | PRESBY J THOMAS | Director | 10,000 | $290.9K | 2026-03-02 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-12 | Manthripragada Vijay | Officer, Director | 44,984 | $1.08M | 2025-11-11 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-10 | Manthripragada Vijay | Officer, Director | 44,983 | $1.19M | 2025-11-10 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2024-05-06 | Manthripragada Vijay | Officer, Director | 12,500 | $581.4K | 2024-05-06 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.5 |
| ROE | -2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.24% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 |