ORIO Orion Digital Corp. Common Shares

XNAS 1.00 Delayed
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ORIO $1.00 —
Key stats
$1.00
52-Week Range
$0.61 – $1.40
YTD
-0.99%
Straddle Price
$9.12
Market Cap
$0.0B
Open
$1.01
Day Range
$1.00 – $1.02
Volume
27,624
Prev Close
$1.01
Fair Value

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)5.27%
Beta vs SPY1.08
Cost of Equity (CAPM)11.20% (VRP-adj)
WACC11.18%
Volatility Risk Premium+144.3pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+3.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Quality Score0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
SMA 50$0.93 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$1.03
Bollinger Width / SMA20975.9% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$0.0B
Peers used for multiples: CIFR, CLSK, COIN, GLXY, HOOD, HUT, IBM, PYPL
Blended Fair Value
—
Deviation
—
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0% median 19.4× · 3 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 14.9× · 5 peers
Peer P/B n/a 0% median 5.0× · 8 peers
Peer P/S n/a 0% median 5.9× · 8 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $0.93 0% stability 0% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-10-09 · updated
About
Industry (SIC)
FINANCE SERVICES (6199)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.0B
Employees
188
List Date
2015-10-23
CIK
0001602842
Next Earnings
2026-11-06
Homepage
https://www.orion-digital.com

Orion Digital Corp is a financial technology company operating digital platforms across wealth and payments, supported by a consumer lending business in Canada. The Company's Wealth platform, Intelligent Investing, provides long-term investment solutions to the Canadian market. It also operates a consumer lending business in Canada. Its Payments business is conducted through its wholly owned subsidiary, which provides issuer processing, program management, and regulated payment orchestration services across Europe. The Company operates in Canada and Europe, with Canada generating the majority …

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'26Avg
Jan25.74%25.74%
Feb-2.52%-2.52%
Mar-18.08%-18.08%
Apr11.76%11.76%
May-11.33%-11.33%
Jun-8.60%-8.60%
Jul-22.33%-22.33%
Aug56.71%56.71%
Sep6.93%6.93%
Oct-8.64%*-8.64%
Nov----
Dec----
Total8.14%8.14%
* Only 1 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $1.03
SMA 50: $0.94
SMA 200: —
Current: $1.00
EMA 12: $1.03
EMA 26: $1.01
MACD: 0.0191 | Signal: -0.0114
BULLISH
ADX (14): 26.29
TREND
+DI: 17.90
−DI: 19.71

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 49.52
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 55.36
Stoch %D: 61.54
Williams %R: -48.00

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $1.08
BB Lower: $0.98
NEUTRAL
OBV: 347,085
Vol SMA 20: 90,731
Vol ROC: 16.64%
ATR: $0.06
True Range: $0.02
HV 20: 46.9%
HV 30: 87.0%
HV 60: 85.1%

Data Summary

Data Points: 194
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2026-01-02T00:00:00 – 2026-10-09T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Click Frenzy-Pro™ for an AI analysis of this ticker.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

ORIO Options Activity & IV Rank

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: —
7-DTE IV: —
Expected Move: $9.12
7-DTE Move: $2.12
Days to Exp: 42 (2026-11-20)

Options Flow

Call Volume: 0
Put Volume: 0
P/C Volume: —
Call OI: 0
Put OI: 0
P/C OI: —
Total OI: 0

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $7.50
ATM Put: $1.62
Call %: 750.0%
Put %: 162.5%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 621
Chain OI: 1,905
Last Updated: 10/9/2026
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ

Not enough history yet to rank today's net dealer gamma against this name's own record.

Gamma percentile
—
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.46
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.20
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.39
δ-decay vs time
Charm tilt -0.39: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.

Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.

Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.

Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.

This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.

· 3 ATM contracts, 1k total OI
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
as of Oct 9 · No data
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
as of Oct 9 · No data

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$9.12Oct 9
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 1.0097
Alpha: 1.28%
Correlation: 0.2038
R-Squared: 4.2%
Stock Volatility: 64.7%
Market Volatility: 13.1%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 193
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own ORIO
1 of 37 tracked investors
InvestorValueShare of their portfolioRankQ/Q sharesSource
Citadel Hedge fund
Ken Griffin
$52K
0.00%
#5987 of 6285new13F

Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions

ORIO Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-09-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

20 filers1,003,883 shares$852.85K value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Tidal Investments LLC 560,211 $476.18K 55.83% — 2026-06-30
2 Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian 194,599 $165.41K 19.39% — 2026-06-30
3 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian 60,877 $51.74K 6.07% — 2026-06-30
4 Mariner, LLC 55,305 $47.01K 5.51% — 2026-06-30
5 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian 33,869 $28.79K 3.38% — 2026-06-30
6 GTS SECURITIES LLC 26,203 $22.27K 2.61% — 2026-06-30
7 XTX Topco Ltd 17,244 $14.66K 1.72% — 2026-06-30
8 Morgan Stanley Custodian 14,463 $12.29K 1.44% — 2026-06-30
9 COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC 11,032 $9.38K 1.10% — 2026-06-30
10 Rathbones Group PLC 10,333 $8.99K 1.05% — 2026-06-30
11 TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. 6,245 $5.07K 0.59% — 2026-06-30
12 Royal Bank of Canada Custodian 6,421 $5.00K 0.59% — 2026-06-30
13 UBS Group AG Custodian 4,699 $3.99K 0.47% — 2026-06-30
14 Barclays PLC Custodian 1,300 $1.10K 0.13% — 2026-06-30
15 Dixon Mitchell Investment Counsel Inc. 713 $623 0.07% — 2026-06-30
16 FMR LLC Custodian 180 $157 0.02% — 2026-06-30
17 National Bank of Canada Custodian 121 $106 0.01% — 2026-06-30
18 EASTERN BANK 66 $71 <0.01% — 2026-09-30
19 DANSKE BANK A/S 1 $1 <0.01% — 2026-06-30
20 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 1 $1 <0.01% — 2026-06-30
4 filers$342.04K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $235.53K 68.86% 2026-06-30
2 Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian $72.25K 21.12% 2026-06-30
3 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $24.23K 7.08% 2026-06-30
4 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $10.03K 2.93% 2026-06-30
1 filers$9.61K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $9.61K 100.00% 2026-06-30
ETF Holders
1 ETF hold ORIO
1 shown · $536.05K total exposure · 0.05% AUM-weighted avg weight
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
1 BLOK Amplify Blockchain Technology ETF Amplify 0.05% $536,051 $1.1B 2026-10-09
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
Short Interest & Float

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions
  • Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
  • SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
  • Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
  • Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
  • Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
  • Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
  • SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
  • 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
  • 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
  • >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
  • Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
  • Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
  • A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Short Interest
271.54K
SI % of Float
1.45%
Days to Cover
2.43
Short Vol Ratio
35.3%
Free Float
18.74M
Float %
78.8%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-09 • Float 2026-10-02