RTO Rentokil Initial plc American Depositary Shares (each representing five (5) Ordinary Shares)
XNYS
21.04
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
RTO
$21.04
—
Key stats
$21.04
Pre-market
$22.97
+9.17%
- 52-Week Range
- $19.50 – $34.66
- YTD
- -29.56%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 57.49
- Straddle Price
- $2.58
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.79
- Market Cap
- $10.7B
- Open
- $21.23
- Day Range
- $20.93 – $21.24
- Volume
- 1,360,336
- Prev Close
- $21.21
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.15% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.94 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.84% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 5.27% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +66.5pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Debt / Equity | 0.76 |
| Quality Score | 0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $22.01 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $20.39 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 44.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $1.9B |
Peers used for multiples: CAH, CASY, JNJ, KO, LLY, MSFT, UNH, WM
60-Day Conviction
74%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 20, 2026
$20.99
α -0.2%
rank 23%
conviction
16%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 21, 2026
$20.92
α -0.6%
rank 23%
conviction
16%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 19, 2027
$20.53
α -2.4%
rank 23%
conviction
74%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $9.57 | 34% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 31.1× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 18.4× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | n/a | 0% | median 8.9× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/S | n/a | 0% | median 5.0× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $22.01 | 66% | stability 79% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $20.24 | 0% | 8 strikes · skew -0.13 |
As of 2026-10-22 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-MANAGEMENT SERVICES (8741) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $10.7B
- Employees
- 64,084
- List Date
- 1994-10-31
- CIK
- 0000930157
- Homepage
- https://www.rentokil-initial.com
Rentokil Initial is the largest global provider of route-based pest control and commercial hygiene services, operating in over 90 countries, with its largest operations in the United States following the acquisition of Terminix. The group also offers a range of specialist route-based services, including office and commercial space plant care, property care, and workwear rentals. The group serves a diverse client base of global food producers, hotel chains, industrial goods companies, restaurants, and individual residential customers.
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -2.53% | -4.58% | -0.16% | 5.49% | -0.44% |
| Feb | -- | 0.10% | 7.61% | 2.90% | -1.88% | 2.18% |
| Mar | -- | 19.04% | 4.47% | -8.91% | 2.17% | 4.19% |
| Apr | -- | 8.31% | -13.94% | -0.35% | 5.81% | -0.04% |
| May | -- | 0.63% | 5.72% | 3.84% | -10.89% | -0.18% |
| Jun | -- | -2.82% | 8.85% | -1.64% | -3.90% | 0.12% |
| Jul | -- | 5.86% | 5.19% | 2.02% | -19.81% | -1.68% |
| Aug | -- | -5.03% | 7.18% | 4.09% | -0.25% | 1.50% |
| Sep | -- | -1.04% | -20.91% | 3.82% | -18.72% | -9.21% |
| Oct | 14.81% | -28.84% | 2.59% | 9.31% | 6.26%* | 0.83% |
| Nov | 10.39% | 6.84% | -0.78% | -0.22% | -- | 4.06% |
| Dec | -8.11% | 4.30% | -2.35% | 5.71% | -- | -0.11% |
| Total | 16.46% | -2.95% | -5.84% | 21.07% | -33.80% | -1.01% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $20.39
SMA 50: $22.01
SMA 200: $28.71
Current: $21.04
EMA 12: $20.76
EMA 26: $21.05
MACD: -0.2987 | Signal: 0.2659
BEARISH
ADX (14): 35.11
TREND
+DI: 22.13
−DI: 28.94
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 48.91
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 88.21
Stoch %D: 92.44
Williams %R: -20.58
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $21.31
BB Lower: $19.46
NEUTRAL
OBV: -21,129,979
Vol SMA 20: 2,032,070
Vol ROC: 14.72%
ATR: $0.39
True Range: $0.31
HV 20: 23.3%
HV 30: 20.9%
HV 60: 45.9%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-23T00:00:00 – 2026-10-21T00:00:00
AI Analysis
RENTOKIL INITIAL PLC (RTO) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH | Confidence Level: 7/10
Rentokil Initial is exhibiting clear technical deterioration with a strong downtrend firmly established. The stock is trading 30.4% below its 200-day moving average ($20.24 vs $29.08), with bearish MACD crossover, negative OBV accumulation (-$27.5M), and a steep -DI dominance (35.19 vs +DI 14.23). However, the bearish case is complicated by: (1) historically low beta (0.43) suggesting limited downside volatility, (2) neutral RSI (31.04) not yet in oversold territory, and (3) an options market pricing modest expected moves ($2.15 over 42 days). The recent news backdrop is dominated by shareholder litigation deadlines (January 27, 2025), which explains the negative sentiment clustering and likely contributed to significant prior price deterioration.
Key Drivers: Litigation risk, trend exhaustion testing, potential accumulation at lower prices
Primary Risks: Class action resolution uncertainty, further deterioration below $19.05 support, continued negative institutional activity
Investment Thesis: RTO presents a technical bounce candidate if $19.05 support holds, but the litigation overhang and deteriorating trend make this a recovery play rather than a growth story. The defensive beta (0.43) and wide IV premium (84.6% above realized) suggest options markets are pricing elevated tail risk relative to realized volatility.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: NEGATIVE (4 of 6 recent headlines focused on litigation deadlines; 2 neutral product/guidance updates). The litigation headlines cluster around January 23-27, 2025, indicating a known event catalyst that likely triggered the price decline from elevated levels. Current price ($20.24) appears to already reflect litigation concern given the 30% discount to the 200-day MA.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction
| Timeframe | Direction | Confidence | Key Indicator | |-----------|-----------|------------|--------------| | Short-term (1-4 weeks) | DOWNTREND | High | Price below SMA20 ($20.77), SMA50 ($22.57); strong ADX 47.88 | | Medium-term (1-3 months) | DOWNTREND | High | Price 10.4% below SMA50; -DI dominance (35.19 vs 14.23) | | Long-term (3-12 months) | SEVERE DOWNTREND | Very High | Price 30.4% below SMA200 ($29.08); -DI at 35.19 suggesting exhaustion |
Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Type | Distance | Significance | |-------|------|----------|--------------| | $19.05 | Support (Bollinger Lower) | -5.9% downside | Psychological; technical floor from volatility bands | | $20.24 | Current Price | — | Testing recent swing lows | | $20.77 | Resistance (SMA 20) | +2.6% upside | Short-term MA; transition to neutral if broken | | $22.57 | Resistance (SMA 50) | +11.5% upside | Medium-term MA; signals trend reversal if reclaimed | | $29.08 | Major Resistance (SMA 200) | +43.5% upside | Long-term equilibrium; would signal complete trend reversal |
Momentum Signals
RSI (14): 31.04 — NEUTRAL/SLIGHTLY OVERSOLD BIAS
- Current reading at 31.04 is slightly above oversold threshold (30) but within the lower neutral range
- Not yet in extreme oversold territory (would need <20 for panic selling confirmation)
- Suggests some capitulation has occurred but room for further decline exists
- Historically, RSI at this level can bounce, but without bullish momentum divergence, bounces tend to fail
MACD: -0.89 / Signal: +0.10 / Histogram: -0.99 — BEARISH CROSSOVER ACTIVE
- MACD (-0.89) is trading well below signal line (+0.10), creating -0.99 histogram
- This is a classic bearish divergence: negative MACD with positive signal indicates selling momentum
- Histogram width (-0.99) shows distance between curves is widening on the downside
- Signal: Momentum remains decisively bearish; no bullish crossover imminent until MACD rises above signal line
Stochastic Oscillators: %K 28.04, %D 22.60 — OVERSOLD
- Both %K and %D are below 30 threshold, indicating oversold conditions in momentum
- %K (28.04) is slightly above %D (22.60), suggesting minor upward momentum but from deeply oversold levels
- Potential for mean reversion bounce is elevated, but oversold doesn't guarantee immediate reversal
- Watch for %K to cross above %D (bullish signal) or break back above 30 (neutral confirmation)
Williams %R: -66.21 — NEAR EXTREMES
- Reading near -75 threshold indicates price near lower end of recent range
- Suggests limited immediate downside within current 14-period range
- Supports potential bounce off $19.05 support
Bollinger Bands Analysis
- Upper Band: $22.49 | Middle: $20.77 | Lower: $19.05
- Width: 16.54% — NORMAL band width; not in squeeze or extreme expansion
- Position: Price ($20.24) is 2.5% above lower band, indicating not at the band edge but approaching lower quadrant
- Signal: NEUTRAL technical setup — bands are neither compressing (squeeze precursor) nor explosively wide (high volatility signal)
- Price between middle and lower band suggests potential mean reversion toward $20.77 middle band, but no strong reversal signal yet
- If price breaks below $19.05, would indicate breakdown below technical support and further deterioration
Volume Analysis
Volume SMA 20: 2,290,556 shares/day
- Current volume dynamics show 14.72% positive rate of change (elevated relative to 20-day average)
- Elevated volume suggests institutional participation or capitulation selling
- Volume increase on down days typically confirms downtrend validity
On-Balance Volume (OBV): -27,499,870 cumulative
- Deeply negative OBV indicates persistent volume has favored sellers over buyers
- Large negative value reflects accumulated selling pressure over multiple periods
- OBV not in recovery mode; shows no accumulation pattern emerging
- Concern: Negative OBV makes bounce attempts vulnerable; without OBV recovery, any bounce likely to fail
Volume Rate of Change: +14.72% — ELEVATED
- Indicates current volume is 14.72% above the 20-day average
- Elevated volume on down days = confirmation of downtrend
- Elevated volume on up days (if/when bounce occurs) = confidence in reversal
Institutional Interest Signal: Elevated volume during downtrend suggests institutional deleveraging or distribution. Lack of volume accumulation patterns prevents bullish interpretation.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary
Litigation Cluster (4 of 6 headlines):
- January 23-27, 2025 Deadline Alerts (4 separate law firm notices) — NEGATIVE
- Multiple law firms promoting securities class action lawsuit participation
- Deadline convergence on January 27, 2025 indicates structured litigation event
- Suggests material shareholder loss from undisclosed event or misrepresentation
- No specific details provided in headlines about underlying litigation cause
Operational/Guidance Updates (2 headlines): 2. October 8, 2026 - "Global Route Density Drives Recurring Revenue Expansion" (Motley Fool) — NEUTRAL
- Forward-looking guidance message about 2026 outlook
- References core business driver (route density in pest control/hygiene services)
- Tone is constructive but headline only; no quantitative targets disclosed
- July 16, 2025 - Product Line Enhancement (GlobeNewswire) — NEUTRAL
- Initial Hygiène Services expanding "Drink & Share" product offering
- Messaging around design, hygiene, sustainability value propositions
- Routine product news with no material impact indicators
Sentiment Assessment
| Category | Count | Sentiment | Weight | |----------|-------|
Generated
News
All RTO news →
This under-the-radar industrial stock boasts a Superscore of 72 from our Hidden Gems Primary database, part of The Motley Fool's Moneyball Database system. Here's why.
RTO Options Activity & IV Rank
RTO IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 49.9%
7-DTE IV: —
Expected Move: $2.58
7-DTE Move: $2.58
Days to Exp: 30 (2026-11-20)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 393
Put Volume: 312
P/C Volume: 0.794
NEUTRAL
Call OI: 5,928
Put OI: 336
P/C OI: 0.057
Total OI: 6,264
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $1.73
ATM Put: $0.85
Call %: 8.2%
Put %: 4.0%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 1,010
Chain OI: 7,258
Last Updated: 10/21/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 76th percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
76%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.85
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.82
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.84
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.82: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.84: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.
? What is this?
· 9 ATM contracts, 6k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
as of Oct 21 · No data
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
as of Oct 21 · ATM 52.0% / Wing —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)57.5MediumOct 21
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$2.58Oct 21
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 0.4297
Alpha: -25.65%
Correlation: 0.1607
R-Squared: 2.6%
Stock Volatility: 34.0%
Market Volatility: 12.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own RTO
2 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $22.1M | #458 of 4729 | -3.6% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $766K | #4005 of 6285 | +24.1% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
RTO Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 2,535,000,000 (as of 2025-12-31)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
5 filers$12.11M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELWOOD CAPITAL PARTNERS LP | $8.58M | 70.89% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $2.62M | 21.64% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $803.94K | 6.64% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Walleye Trading LLC | $80.11K | 0.66% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $20.03K | 0.17% | 2026-06-30 |
7 filers$3.10M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.95M | 63.01% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $529.28K | 17.07% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $277.52K | 8.95% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $223.16K | 7.20% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $62.94K | 2.03% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Walleye Trading LLC | $45.78K | 1.48% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $8.58K | 0.28% | 2026-06-30 |
ETF Holders
47 ETFs hold RTO
25 shown · $626.44M total exposure · 0.06% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $143.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | BLCR iShares Large Cap Core Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.98% | $95.8M | $9.8B | 2026-10-20 |
| 3 | VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $94.6M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | IEFA iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $80.1M | $191.0B | 2026-10-20 |
| 5 | EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.05% | $38.2M | $77.3B | 2026-10-20 |
| 6 | VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF | Vanguard | 0.06% | $23.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 7 | VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World Ex-US ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $23.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | EFG iShares MSCI EAFE Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.11% | $16.3M | $15.1B | 2026-10-20 |
| 9 | IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.03% | $14.7M | $58.1B | 2026-10-20 |
| 10 | EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.34% | $12.5M | $3.7B | 2026-10-20 |
| 11 | SPDW State Street® SPDR® Portfolio Developed World ex-US ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.03% | $12.4M | $40.9B | 2026-10-20 |
| 12 | IDEV iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.03% | $11.6M | $34.0B | 2026-10-20 |
| 13 | ESGD iShares ESG Aware MSCI EAFE ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.09% | $10.8M | $11.9B | 2026-10-20 |
| 14 | AQEC AQE Core ETF | Nport | 1.63% | $9.4M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $8.8M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 16 | IEUR iShares Core MSCI Europe ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $6.5M | $9.5B | 2026-10-20 |
| 17 | RGEF Rockefeller Global Equity ETF | Nport | 0.69% | $5.6M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 18 | ACWX iShares MSCI ACWI ex U.S. ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.03% | $4.7M | $17.7B | 2026-10-20 |
| 19 | ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $3.3M | $33.0B | 2026-10-20 |
| 20 | TMFG Motley Fool Global Opportunities ETF | Nport | 0.84% | $3.0M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 21 | APIE ActivePassive International Equity ETF | Nport | 0.21% | $2.2M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 22 | EASY Liberty One Defensive Dividend Growth ETF | Nport | 3.52% | $2.1M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 23 | VSGX Vanguard ESG International Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $2.1M | — | 2026-10-20 |
| 24 | EXI iShares Global Industrials ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.10% | $1.4M | $1.4B | 2026-10-20 |
| 25 | IEV iShares Europe ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $1.2M | $1.6B | 2026-10-20 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
Quarterly figures (4 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '22 | 2022-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 • period ending 2025-12-31 • filed 2026-03-25
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
3.24M
SI % of Float
0.64%
Days to Cover
1.28
Short Vol Ratio
9.7%
Free Float
—
Float %
—
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-21