TVAI Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Class A Ordinary Shares

XNAS
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

TVAI — —
Key stats
About
Industry (SIC)
BLANK CHECKS (6770)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.3B
List Date
2025-07-02
CIK
0001872228
Headquarters
Valencia, CA

Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corp II is a blank check company.

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'25'26Avg
Jan--0.40%0.40%
Feb--0.20%0.20%
Mar--0.20%0.20%
Apr--0.24%0.24%
May--0.39%0.39%
Jun--0.19%0.19%
Jul0.35%0.29%0.32%
Aug0.40%-0.19%0.11%
Sep0.00%0.19%0.10%
Oct0.20%0.29%*0.24%
Nov0.50%--0.50%
Dec0.00%--0.00%
Total1.46%2.22%1.84%
* Only 2 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $10.40
SMA 50: $10.38
SMA 200: —
Current: $10.43
EMA 12: $10.42
EMA 26: $10.40
MACD: 0.0187 | Signal: 0.0016
BULLISH
ADX (14): 31.05
TREND
+DI: 57.74
−DI: 28.22

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 68.58
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 88.89
Stoch %D: 94.44
Williams %R: -16.67

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $10.45
BB Lower: $10.36
NEUTRAL
OBV: 2,443,687
Vol SMA 20: 106,956
Vol ROC: 698.42%
ATR: $0.01
True Range: $0.00
HV 20: 1.2%
HV 30: 1.2%
HV 60: 1.9%

Data Summary

Data Points: 168
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-07-02T00:00:00 – 2026-10-21T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: TVAI

Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (confidence level 6/10)

Key Drivers:

  • Short-term trend is uncertain, with RSI indicating a neutral reading
  • Medium-term trend is bullish, with MACD and ADX suggesting an uptrend
  • Long-term trend is unclear due to lack of SMA 200 data

Primary Risks:

  • High volatility, as indicated by IV premium vs HV30
  • Negative correlation with market (beta = -0.01)

Recent News Sentiment Impact: No recent news headlines available

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction

  • Short-term: NEUTRAL (RSI 62.21)
  • Medium-term: BULLISH (MACD and ADX)
  • Long-term: UNCLEAR (lack of SMA 200 data)

Support/Resistance Levels

  • Upper Bollinger Band: $10.40
  • Middle Bollinger Band: $10.38
  • Lower Bollinger Band: $10.35

Momentum Signals

  • RSI interpretation: NEUTRAL (62.21)
  • MACD signal: BULLISH (0.02 / Signal: -0.00 / Histogram: 0.02)
  • Bollinger Bands position: NEUTRAL (middle band at current price)

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news headlines available

Sentiment Assessment: NEUTRAL (no recent news headlines)

Catalyst Identification: No upcoming earnings or events announced

Market Narrative: Unclear market narrative due to lack of recent news headlines

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: STOCK MOVES OPPOSITE TO MARKET (beta = -0.01)

Volatility Regime: HIGH VOLTILITY (IV premium vs HV30 and average true range)

Options Market Signals: No options data available

Downside Protection: Support levels at $10.35 and $10.29

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: UNCLEAR (no sector performance data available)

Institutional Activity: No institutional activity data available

Correlation Analysis: STOCK MOVES OPPOSITE TO MARKET (beta = -0.01)

Relative Valuation: POSITION WITHIN TRADING RANGE

Key Levels & Action Items

  • Critical Price Levels: Support at $10.35 and resistance at $10.40
  • Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No clear breakout or breakdown levels available
  • Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No upcoming earnings or events announced
  • Risk Management: Stop-loss levels at $10.29 and position sizing considerations

Analysis Conclusion: TVAI's short-term trend is uncertain, while its medium-term trend appears bullish. The stock's high volatility and negative correlation with market create risks for investors. With no recent news headlines available, it is essential to monitor the stock's price action and wait for potential catalysts before making a trading decision.

Generated

TVAI Options Activity & IV Rank

Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: -0.0112
Alpha: 8.19%
Correlation: -0.0573
R-Squared: 0.3%
Stock Volatility: 2.4%
Market Volatility: 12.5%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 117
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own TVAI
1 of 37 tracked investors
InvestorValueShare of their portfolioRankQ/Q sharesSource
Millennium Management Hedge fund
Izzy Englander
$7.2M
0.00%
#1818 of 37160.0%13F

Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions

TVAI Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

50 filers19,443,403 shares$200.76M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Linden Advisors LP 1,750,000 $18.09M 9.01% — 2026-06-30
2 ARISTEIA CAPITAL, L.L.C. 1,125,000 $11.61M 5.78% — 2026-06-30
3 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 1,000,000 $10.32M 5.14% — 2026-06-30
4 Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 900,000 $9.29M 4.63% — 2026-06-30
5 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian 875,000 $9.05M 4.51% — 2026-06-30
6 Alberta Investment Management Corp 700,000 $7.24M 3.61% — 2026-06-30
7 Millennium Management LLC Custodian 700,000 $7.22M 3.60% — 2026-06-30
8 AQR Arbitrage LLC 640,768 $6.63M 3.30% — 2026-06-30
9 Two Sigma Investments, LP Custodian 634,375 $6.55M 3.26% — 2026-06-30
10 Verition Fund Management LLC 626,871 $6.48M 3.23% — 2026-06-30
11 Meteora Capital, LLC 606,402 $6.26M 3.12% — 2026-06-30
12 GLAZER CAPITAL, LLC 581,795 $6.00M 2.99% — 2026-06-30
13 Karpus Management, Inc. 541,900 $5.59M 2.79% — 2026-06-30
14 Westchester Capital Management, LLC 525,000 $5.43M 2.70% — 2026-06-30
15 Radcliffe Capital Management, L.P. 525,000 $5.42M 2.70% — 2026-06-30
16 HGC Investment Management Inc. 525,000 $5.42M 2.70% — 2026-06-30
17 BERKLEY W R CORP 518,020 $5.36M 2.67% — 2026-06-30
18 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 515,232 $5.32M 2.65% — 2026-06-30
19 MANGROVE PARTNERS IM, LLC 450,000 $4.64M 2.31% — 2026-06-30
20 RIVERNORTH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 398,000 $4.14M 2.06% — 2026-06-30
21 COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLS RETRMT SYS 387,262 $4.00M 1.99% — 2026-06-30
22 Logan Stone Capital, LLC 383,267 $3.96M 1.97% — 2026-06-30
23 Shaolin Capital Management LLC 377,208 $3.89M 1.94% — 2026-06-30
24 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 375,000 $3.88M 1.93% — 2026-06-30
25 Magnetar Financial LLC 350,000 $3.62M 1.80% — 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period

TVAI Board & Officers

As of SEC filings through May 14, 2025
The company's insiders have not filed since May 14, 2025; this reflects that date.

Directors 8

Officers 2

10% owners 3

Changes in the last 10 years (13)
May 14, 2025Warren B Riley became a director
May 14, 2025Thayer Ventures Acquisition Holdings II LLC became a director
May 14, 2025Thayer Ventures Acquisition Holdings II LLC became a 10% owner
May 14, 2025Ross David Edelman became a director
May 14, 2025Robert Ghoorah became a director
May 14, 2025Mark E Farrell became a director
May 14, 2025Mark E Farrell became a 10% owner
May 14, 2025Mark E Farrell became Co-CEO, Co-President, CFO
May 14, 2025H. Charles Floyd became a director
May 14, 2025Christopher Hemmeter became a director
May 14, 2025Christopher Hemmeter became a 10% owner
May 14, 2025Christopher Hemmeter became Co-CEO, Co-President,Secretary
May 14, 2025Caroline Shin became a director
Compiled from SEC filings by the company and its directors and officers. Dates are as stated in those filings. Where no filing says when someone left, we show the last filing that listed them.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.