K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in November 2026?

Settles Dec 10, 2026 (40d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in November Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES8% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–88%
· 7d +0 pts
24h volume
1.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Above 3.1%98%124
Above 3.3%98%2
Above 3.5%94%85
Above 3.7%78%2
Above 3.8%61%151
Above 3.9%50%299
Above 4.0%32%726
Above 4.1%26%3