Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in November 2026?
chance of YES7%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–16%
24h volume
3.2K
Open interest
10.0K
Large orders (14d)
$7K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Above 3.1%98%124
Above 3.3%98%2
Above 3.5%94%85
Above 3.7%77%2
Above 3.8%61%151
Above 3.9%50%126
Above 4.0%32%726
Above 4.1%26%3
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 91¢ | 1,129 | $1K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 4,780 | $4K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 1,321 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.