Will the Democratic party hold more than 57 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–5%
30d -18 pts · 7d -44 pts
24h volume
19.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
151.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
4¢ / 4¢
spread 0.1¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
4.0¢ 2,131 4.1¢ 12,853
3.9¢ 9 4.2¢ 891
3.8¢ 9 4.3¢ 0
3.7¢ 9 4.4¢ 0
3.6¢ 9 4.5¢ 0

Mid 4.0¢ · spread 0.1¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 5352%21.9K
5414%45.7K
5312%40.1K
5510%40.2K
566%26.0K
573%16.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 9,547$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.