Will the Democratic party hold exactly 55 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Polls & election odds

Embed these odds

Paste this into any web page or blog post. The odds refresh every minute.

Theme
Preview
chance of YES10% +2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–11%
30d +83 pts · 7d +26 pts
24h volume
40.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
180.5K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
10.0¢ 20,189 11.0¢ 7,580
9.9¢ 14 12.0¢ 6,387
9.8¢ 11 13.0¢ 175
9.7¢ 4 14.0¢ 0
9.6¢ 9 15.0¢ 0

Mid 10.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 5352%21.9K
5414%45.7K
5312%40.1K
566%26.0K
573%16.1K
Above 572%19.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES11¢ 20,966$2K
YES8¢ 14,526$1K
YES8¢ 13,061$1K
NO92¢ 1,150$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.