Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES52%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
52–84%
24h volume
21.9K
Open interest
101.0K
Bid / ask
61¢ / 62¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61.0¢ | 21 | 62.0¢ | 21,371 |
| 60.0¢ | 11,953 | 63.0¢ | 23,247 |
| 59.0¢ | 20 | 64.0¢ | 2,015 |
| 58.0¢ | 10,005 | 65.0¢ | 697 |
| 48.0¢ | 400 | 66.0¢ | 975 |
Mid 61.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 52¢ | 5,000 | $3K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 2,000 | $1K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 3,000 | $2K | |
| YES | 56¢ | 4,307 | $2K | |
| NO | 40¢ | 4,997 | $2K | |
| NO | 39¢ | 9,858 | $4K | |
| YES | 62¢ | 2,500 | $2K | |
| NO | 39¢ | 7,632 | $3K | |
| NO | 38¢ | 9,600 | $4K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.