Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES12%
-2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
8–18%
24h volume
40.1K
Open interest
165.6K
Bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.0¢ | 220 | 13.0¢ | 2,375 |
| 11.0¢ | 15,276 | 14.0¢ | 10,787 |
| 10.0¢ | 1,900 | 15.0¢ | 8 |
| 9.0¢ | 300 | 16.0¢ | 5,000 |
| 8.9¢ | 1,000 | 17.0¢ | 4 |
Mid 12.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 89¢ | 12,697 | $11K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 9,072 | $8K | |
| NO | 88¢ | 2,374 | $2K | |
| YES | 13¢ | 24,000 | $3K | |
| YES | 12¢ | 22,465 | $3K | |
| NO | 88¢ | 2,518 | $2K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 2,363 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.