K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Polls & election odds

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chance of YES14%
Price range (120d)
4–14%
30d +47 pts · 7d +27 pts
24h volume
45.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
206.8K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
14.0¢ 2,938 15.0¢ 2,788
13.0¢ 10,019 16.0¢ 8,344
12.0¢ 26,708 17.0¢ 2,012
11.0¢ 4,405 18.0¢ 88
10.0¢ 401 19.0¢ 10

Mid 14.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 5352%21.9K
5312%40.1K
5510%40.2K
566%26.0K
573%16.1K
Above 572%19.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES14¢ 13,474$2K
NO86¢ 11,297$10K
YES12¢ 14,529$2K
YES12¢ 65,000$8K
YES10¢ 26,196$3K
NO91¢ 2,625$2K
YES12¢ 10,000$1K
YES10¢ 13,217$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.