Will the Democratic party hold exactly 57 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Polls & election odds

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chance of YES3% +0.6pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–3%
30d +143 pts · 7d +112 pts
24h volume
16.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
155.1K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
spread 0.4¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
1.2¢ 7 1.6¢ 3
1.1¢ 20,000 1.7¢ 5,000
1.0¢ 2,672 1.8¢ 102
0.8¢ 3,750 1.9¢ 0
0.7¢ 3,571 2.0¢ 3

Mid 1.4¢ · spread 0.4¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 5352%21.9K
5414%45.7K
5312%40.1K
5510%40.2K
566%26.0K
Above 572%19.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 1,684$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.