Will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES6%
Price range (120d)
2–7%
30d +161 pts · 7d +30 pts
24h volume
26.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
162.1K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
spread 0.7¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
6.0¢ 175 6.7¢ 5,000
5.9¢ 5 7.1¢ 0
5.8¢ 8 7.3¢ 0
5.7¢ 176 7.4¢ 0
5.6¢ 23 7.5¢ 0

Mid 6.3¢ · spread 0.7¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 5352%21.9K
5414%45.7K
5312%40.1K
5510%40.2K
573%16.1K
Above 572%19.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO96¢ 11,000$11K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.