kalshi
Elections
Will Donald J. Trump Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Donald J. Trump Jr.
4%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 3%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -9.5pp
Other outcomes in this event
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AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 4% probability that Donald J. Trump Jr. will be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party in the 2028 election. This assessment is based on current information and trends, including the political landscape and the reputation of Trump Jr. within the Republican party. The price would likely increase if there were significant developments or endorsements that bolster his chances of becoming the nominee, such as a major party leader or influential figure publicly supporting him. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price could be expected if other candidates emerge as strong contenders or if Trump Jr.'s reputation is tarnished by controversy or scandal. The market will continue to reflect the evolving situation and adjust its assessment accordingly until the event's conclusion on November 7th, 2028.
Generated Jul 25, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 2758 | 4.1¢ | 29405 | |
| 3.7¢ | 1000 | 4.2¢ | 4065 | |
| 3.6¢ | 0 | 4.3¢ | 1003 | |
| 3.5¢ | 52350 | 4.4¢ | 6696 | |
| 3.4¢ | 1162 | 4.5¢ | 6033 |
Spread 0.3¢ · Mid 4.0¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.