kalshi Elections

Will Ivanka Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Ivanka Trump
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (826d) 24h volume 39 Open interest 1.3M Event 2028 Republican presidential nominee
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 83 days · High 2% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d 0.0pp
2%1%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market currently assigns a 1% probability to Ivanka Trump being the nominee for the Republican party in the 2028 presidential election, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Trump's public profile and political involvement since leaving her role as First Lady. The current price reflects a general consensus that she is not a strong contender for the nomination at this time. Factors that could potentially increase the YES price include changes in her public profile, such as increased visibility or influence within the Republican party, or unexpected shifts in the political landscape that might make her a more viable candidate. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price would likely result from further evidence of her lack of interest or involvement in seeking the nomination, or the emergence of other stronger contenders for the Republican nomination.
Generated Jul 23, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
1.1¢ 2000 1.3¢ 3823
1.0¢ 8689 1.4¢ 61198
0.9¢ 5000 1.5¢ 35005
0.8¢ 1250 1.7¢ 500
0.7¢ 1686 1.8¢ 30002
Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 1.2¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.