kalshi
Elections
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 51 days ·
High 0% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d 0.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 0% probability that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party in the 2028 election. This assessment is based on known facts about Kennedy's political affiliations and public statements, which suggest he has historically been associated with Democratic or independent causes rather than the Republican party. The current price of the market implies that most participants believe it is highly unlikely that Kennedy will be the Republican nominee. Factors that could potentially increase the YES price include changes in Kennedy's political stance or affiliation, significant shifts in the Republican party's platform or leadership, and unforeseen events that might alter the trajectory of the election. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price would likely result from further evidence or statements suggesting Kennedy is not a serious contender for the Republican nomination.
Generated Jun 18, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 655893 | 0.4¢ | 75722 | |
| 0.2¢ | 1 | 0.5¢ | 50359 | |
| 0.1¢ | 2030800 | 0.6¢ | 40000 | |
| 0.8¢ | 1 | |||
| 0.9¢ | 80001 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 0.4¢
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