Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The prediction market for Andy Beshear's chances of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election indicates a low probability of his victory, with a current YES price of 0.01, implying a 1% chance of occurrence. This assessment is informed by known facts about Beshear's political career and public profile, as well as the competitive nature of presidential elections. The market will resolve once all three designated sources (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) declare a winner, or if no consensus is reached by the inauguration date in January 2029, at which point the market will be resolved based on who takes office. Any significant changes to Beshear's political standing, such as a major policy shift or controversy, could potentially impact the price of this market, driving it up or down depending on how these developments affect his perceived chances of winning.