polymarket Politics

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Hunter Biden
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (828d) 24h volume $1.1K Open interest $11.2M Event Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 2% · Low 0% · 7d +10.0pp · 30d -15.4pp
2%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market on whether Hunter Biden will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination currently indicates a 1% probability of this outcome, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is based on current information and does not reflect any speculative opinions or predictions about the likelihood of Hunter Biden's success. The market's resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, which will determine whether the market resolves to "Yes" if Hunter Biden wins and accepts the nomination. Any changes in the nominee before election day will not affect the market's outcome.
Generated Jul 27, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.