polymarket
Politics
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Jon Ossoff
14%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 16% ·
Low 5%
· 7d -11.4pp
· 30d +32.2pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 14% probability that Jon Ossoff will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. This assessment is informed by known facts about Ossoff's political career and public profile to date. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing various factors such as Ossoff's potential appeal to voters and his ability to secure support within the Democratic Party. A change in Ossoff's political fortunes or a significant shift in public opinion about him would likely impact the YES price, potentially driving it higher if his prospects improve or lower if they decline. Conversely, any developments that diminish Ossoff's chances of securing the nomination could push the price downward. The market will resolve on November 7, 2028, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, and any replacement of the nominee before election day will not affect the outcome.
Generated Jul 28, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.