polymarket Politics

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Raphael Warnock
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (828d) 24h volume $798 Open interest $11.2M Event Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 1% · Low 1% · 7d -15.4pp · 30d -26.7pp
1%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 1% probability that Raphael Warnock will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. This assessment is based on current information and trends in the political landscape. The market price reflects the collective opinion of participants, who are weighing various factors such as Warnock's political experience, his reputation within the party, and the broader electoral environment. A change in these factors could impact the market price, with an increase in the YES price potentially indicating growing support for Warnock or a shift in the political landscape that favors his candidacy. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price may suggest diminishing prospects for Warnock or increased competition from other Democratic hopefuls. The market will close on November 7, 2028, and its resolution will be determined by official sources within the Democratic Party.
Generated Jul 24, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.