polymarket
Politics
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Raphael Warnock
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 1%
· 7d -15.4pp
· 30d -26.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 1% probability that Raphael Warnock will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. This assessment is based on current information and trends in the political landscape. The market price reflects the collective opinion of participants, who are weighing various factors such as Warnock's political experience, his reputation within the party, and the broader electoral environment. A change in these factors could impact the market price, with an increase in the YES price potentially indicating growing support for Warnock or a shift in the political landscape that favors his candidacy. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price may suggest diminishing prospects for Warnock or increased competition from other Democratic hopefuls. The market will close on November 7, 2028, and its resolution will be determined by official sources within the Democratic Party.
Generated Jul 24, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.