polymarket
Politics
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
James Talarico
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 1%
· 7d +9.5pp
· 30d -20.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for James Talarico winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination currently indicates a 1% probability, reflected in a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Talarico's political career and public profile at this point in time. The current price does not reflect any specific events or developments that may occur between now and the market's close on November 7, 2028. A change in the YES price would likely require new information about Talarico's campaign, such as significant endorsements, policy shifts, or changes in his public standing.
Generated Jul 14, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.