polymarket
Politics
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Pete Buttigieg
5%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 4%
· 7d -1.9pp
· 30d +24.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on Pete Buttigieg winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination indicates a 5% probability, as reflected in the current YES price of 0.05. This assessment is informed by known facts about Buttigieg's political career and public profile, which may influence traders' perceptions of his chances. The market will resolve to "Yes" if Buttigieg wins and accepts the nomination, and otherwise will settle on "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, which provides clarity on the criteria for determining the outcome. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day would not affect the market's resolution.
Generated Jul 26, 2026
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