What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (782d) 24h volume $6.5K Open interest $9.3M Event Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

implied YES probability

-0.8pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 23% · Low 9% · 7d +0.5pp · 30d -8.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.