Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The prediction market currently assigns a 1% probability to Donald Trump Jr. winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, as reflected in the YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Trump Jr.'s political career and public profile, which may influence market participants' perceptions of his chances. The current price does not reflect any specific event or development that would significantly alter the probability of Trump Jr.'s victory; rather, it represents a general consensus among market participants. Any significant changes in Trump Jr.'s political stance, public support, or opposition from major parties could potentially impact the YES price, driving it up if such developments improve his chances or down if they worsen them.