What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Bernie Sanders

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (828d) 24h volume $369 Open interest $11.2M Event Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 1% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -13.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market on whether Bernie Sanders will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination indicates a low probability of occurrence, with a current YES price of 0.01, implying a 1% chance. This assessment is informed by known facts about Sanders' past political career and his current standing within the party. The market's resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, which will determine whether Sanders accepts the nomination or not. Any changes to the nominee prior to election day would not affect the market's outcome.

Generated Jul 27, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.