polymarket
Politics
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Rahm Emanuel
2%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 3% ·
Low 2%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d +42.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on Rahm Emanuel's chances of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination indicates a low probability of his success, with a current YES price of 0.02, implying a 2% chance. This assessment is informed by known facts about Emanuel's political career and the competitive nature of the Democratic primary process. The market will resolve to "Yes" if Emanuel wins and accepts the nomination, and otherwise will settle on "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, which may influence the current price. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day would not alter the market's outcome.
Generated Jul 08, 2026
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