polymarket Politics

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Wes Moore
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (828d) 24h volume $143 Open interest $11.2M Event Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 1% · Low 1% · 7d +17.4pp · 30d -6.9pp
1%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market on whether Wes Moore will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination currently indicates a 1% probability, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Moore's background and political experience, as well as his recent announcement that he is seeking the nomination. The current price reflects the market's collective view on the likelihood of Moore securing the nomination. Any changes to this assessment would require new information or developments that significantly alter the competitive landscape within the Democratic Party.
Generated Jul 27, 2026

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.