polymarket Politics

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

LeBron James
Closes Nov 07, 2028 (828d) 24h volume $1.3K Open interest $63.2M Event Presidential Election Winner 2028
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 1% · Low 0% · 7d -40.0pp · 30d -76.9pp
1%0%

How this market resolves

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for LeBron James winning the 2028 US Presidential Election shows a current YES price of 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero. This assessment is likely influenced by the fact that LeBron James has never held political office and lacks any known involvement in politics. The market's resolution will be based on the outcome of the presidential election, with the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC serving as the primary sources for determining the winner. In the event that all three sources have not declared a winner by January 20, 2029, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as president. Any significant developments or announcements regarding LeBron James' political aspirations would likely impact the YES price, potentially driving it up if such information emerges, and down if it does not.
Generated Jul 16, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.